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2021 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

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Braves
71.7%
Astros
28.3%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamBraves StarterAstros StarterBraves Win ProbAstros Win Prob
1BravesAstrosCharlie MortonFramber Valdez100.0%0.0%
2BravesAstrosMax FriedJosé Urquidy0.0%100.0%
3AstrosBravesIan AndersonLuis Garcia100.0%0.0%
4AstrosBravesBullpen GameZack Greinke100.0%0.0%
5AstrosBravesBullpen GameFramber Valdez0.0%100.0%
6BravesAstrosMax FriedLuis Garcia46.9%53.1%
7BravesAstrosIan AndersonJosé Urquidy46.7%53.3%
GameAway TeamHome TeamBraves StarterAstros StarterBraves Win ProbAstros Win Prob
1BravesAstrosCharlie MortonFramber Valdez100.0%0.0%
2BravesAstrosMax FriedJosé Urquidy0.0%100.0%
3AstrosBravesIan AndersonLuis Garcia100.0%0.0%
4AstrosBravesBullpen GameZack Greinke100.0%0.0%
5AstrosBravesBullpen GameFramber Valdez0.0%100.0%
6BravesAstrosMax FriedLuis Garcia46.9%53.1%
7BravesAstrosIan AndersonJosé Urquidy46.7%53.3%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Astros win in 4 Games0.0%
Astros win in 5 Games0.0%
Astros win in 6 Games0.0%
Astros win in 7 Games28.3%
Astros Total28.3%
Braves win in 4 Games0.0%
Braves win in 5 Games0.0%
Braves win in 6 Games46.9%
Braves win in 7 Games24.8%
Braves Total71.7%
OutcomeProb
Astros win in 4 Games0.0%
Astros win in 5 Games0.0%
Astros win in 6 Games0.0%
Astros win in 7 Games28.3%
Astros Total28.3%
Braves win in 4 Games0.0%
Braves win in 5 Games0.0%
Braves win in 6 Games46.9%
Braves win in 7 Games24.8%
Braves Total71.7%