Cy Young Award Projections
Projection System
About the Cy Young Award Projections:
These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)
- Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
- FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]
American League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 42.1 | 4 | 0 | 32.7% | 3.7% | 1.92 | 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 21.4 | 32.9 | 167.1 | 12 | 6 | 29.6% | 5.4% | 2.85 | 2.76 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 62.4 | 94.8 |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | 48.0 | 3 | 5 | 28.4% | 5.6% | 3.56 | 2.85 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 13.6 | 22.5 | 199.0 | 13 | 13 | 26.5% | 6.7% | 3.39 | 3.30 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 59.2 | 85.7 |
| 3 | Logan Gilbert | 48.0 | 3 | 0 | 28.2% | 7.3% | 1.69 | 3.23 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 23.0 | 29.8 | 198.0 | 12 | 7 | 24.9% | 6.4% | 3.09 | 3.49 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 62.8 | 85.1 |
| 4 | Corbin Burnes | 47.1 | 3 | 2 | 25.3% | 6.5% | 2.86 | 3.57 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 16.3 | 21.2 | 200.1 | 12 | 9 | 25.9% | 7.1% | 3.37 | 3.41 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 58.3 | 82.5 |
| 5 | George Kirby | 38.0 | 3 | 2 | 26.3% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 2.07 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 10.1 | 20.4 | 185.0 | 13 | 10 | 23.7% | 3.6% | 3.45 | 3.08 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 52.4 | 81.7 |
| 6 | Pablo López | 37.1 | 3 | 2 | 30.2% | 5.4% | 4.35 | 3.47 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 12.4 | 185.1 | 12 | 9 | 27.9% | 6.2% | 3.69 | 3.34 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 49.7 | 73.6 |
| 7 | Kevin Gausman | 33.0 | 2 | 3 | 21.5% | 5.6% | 3.81 | 3.66 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 7.6 | 10.7 | 178.0 | 12 | 10 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 3.59 | 3.46 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 48.8 | 69.3 |
| 8 | Zach Eflin | 48.0 | 2 | 4 | 19.5% | 2.0% | 3.75 | 3.73 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 9.9 | 14.0 | 186.0 | 12 | 11 | 22.0% | 3.4% | 3.63 | 3.45 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 46.8 | 68.6 |
| 9 | Cole Ragans | 42.1 | 2 | 2 | 29.8% | 8.3% | 3.41 | 2.34 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 12.5 | 22.6 | 168.1 | 10 | 9 | 26.6% | 9.1% | 3.64 | 3.29 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 45.1 | 67.7 |
| 10 | Joe Ryan | 40.1 | 1 | 2 | 28.4% | 3.7% | 3.58 | 2.99 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 16.4 | 177.1 | 10 | 10 | 27.4% | 5.5% | 3.71 | 3.40 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 45.5 | 67.2 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 42.1 | 4 | 0 | 32.7% | 3.7% | 1.92 | 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 21.4 | 32.9 | 167.1 | 12 | 6 | 29.6% | 5.4% | 2.85 | 2.76 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 62.4 | 94.8 |
| 2 | Luis Castillo | 48.0 | 3 | 5 | 28.4% | 5.6% | 3.56 | 2.85 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 13.6 | 22.5 | 199.0 | 13 | 13 | 26.5% | 6.7% | 3.39 | 3.30 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 59.2 | 85.7 |
| 3 | Logan Gilbert | 48.0 | 3 | 0 | 28.2% | 7.3% | 1.69 | 3.23 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 23.0 | 29.8 | 198.0 | 12 | 7 | 24.9% | 6.4% | 3.09 | 3.49 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 62.8 | 85.1 |
| 4 | Corbin Burnes | 47.1 | 3 | 2 | 25.3% | 6.5% | 2.86 | 3.57 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 16.3 | 21.2 | 200.1 | 12 | 9 | 25.9% | 7.1% | 3.37 | 3.41 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 58.3 | 82.5 |
| 5 | George Kirby | 38.0 | 3 | 2 | 26.3% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 2.07 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 10.1 | 20.4 | 185.0 | 13 | 10 | 23.7% | 3.6% | 3.45 | 3.08 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 52.4 | 81.7 |
| 6 | Pablo López | 37.1 | 3 | 2 | 30.2% | 5.4% | 4.35 | 3.47 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 8.1 | 12.4 | 185.1 | 12 | 9 | 27.9% | 6.2% | 3.69 | 3.34 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 49.7 | 73.6 |
| 7 | Kevin Gausman | 33.0 | 2 | 3 | 21.5% | 5.6% | 3.81 | 3.66 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 7.6 | 10.7 | 178.0 | 12 | 10 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 3.59 | 3.46 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 48.8 | 69.3 |
| 8 | Zach Eflin | 48.0 | 2 | 4 | 19.5% | 2.0% | 3.75 | 3.73 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 9.9 | 14.0 | 186.0 | 12 | 11 | 22.0% | 3.4% | 3.63 | 3.45 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 46.8 | 68.6 |
| 9 | Cole Ragans | 42.1 | 2 | 2 | 29.8% | 8.3% | 3.41 | 2.34 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 12.5 | 22.6 | 168.1 | 10 | 9 | 26.6% | 9.1% | 3.64 | 3.29 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 45.1 | 67.7 |
| 10 | Joe Ryan | 40.1 | 1 | 2 | 28.4% | 3.7% | 3.58 | 2.99 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 16.4 | 177.1 | 10 | 10 | 27.4% | 5.5% | 3.71 | 3.40 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 45.5 | 67.2 |
of 20
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 200 results
of 20
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 200 results
National League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 49.0 | 4 | 3 | 32.1% | 6.6% | 1.65 | 2.29 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 25.8 | 37.9 | 200.0 | 14 | 10 | 27.1% | 6.5% | 2.97 | 3.03 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 70.1 | 102.7 |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | 50.0 | 6 | 1 | 32.3% | 6.7% | 2.70 | 2.44 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 22.3 | 33.7 | 171.0 | 16 | 6 | 31.3% | 7.2% | 3.11 | 2.97 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 64.1 | 93.1 |
| 3 | Shota Imanaga | 41.1 | 5 | 0 | 26.9% | 3.1% | 1.09 | 2.37 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 24.9 | 34.7 | 173.1 | 13 | 6 | 25.6% | 5.5% | 3.01 | 3.22 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 59.7 | 84.2 |
| 4 | Sonny Gray | 30.0 | 4 | 1 | 33.3% | 4.4% | 0.90 | 1.55 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 19.9 | 29.7 | 167.0 | 13 | 7 | 24.9% | 6.9% | 2.96 | 3.21 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 58.6 | 82.5 |
| 5 | Logan Webb | 46.0 | 3 | 3 | 18.3% | 6.1% | 3.51 | 2.99 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 11.6 | 19.4 | 200.0 | 13 | 11 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 3.46 | 3.18 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 52.8 | 82.1 |
| 6 | Dylan Cease | 42.0 | 4 | 2 | 29.8% | 8.7% | 2.57 | 2.48 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 17.8 | 27.3 | 175.0 | 13 | 8 | 28.9% | 9.6% | 3.29 | 3.29 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 57.4 | 81.1 |
| 7 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 42.0 | 4 | 1 | 27.8% | 4.7% | 2.79 | 3.10 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 16.7 | 23.2 | 180.0 | 14 | 7 | 26.3% | 5.5% | 3.45 | 3.36 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 54.1 | 76.9 |
| 8 | Ranger Suárez | 47.0 | 6 | 0 | 26.9% | 3.5% | 1.72 | 2.80 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 25.1 | 34.0 | 175.0 | 14 | 6 | 22.3% | 6.7% | 3.24 | 3.58 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 54.5 | 72.4 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 38.0 | 4 | 2 | 26.5% | 7.7% | 2.84 | 3.38 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 19.8 | 181.0 | 14 | 10 | 24.3% | 7.2% | 3.48 | 3.62 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 52.8 | 70.4 |
| 10 | Chris Sale | 36.1 | 4 | 1 | 29.0% | 4.8% | 3.48 | 3.01 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 12.3 | 18.3 | 155.1 | 13 | 6 | 29.4% | 6.3% | 3.54 | 3.27 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 48.3 | 69.5 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 49.0 | 4 | 3 | 32.1% | 6.6% | 1.65 | 2.29 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 25.8 | 37.9 | 200.0 | 14 | 10 | 27.1% | 6.5% | 2.97 | 3.03 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 70.1 | 102.7 |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | 50.0 | 6 | 1 | 32.3% | 6.7% | 2.70 | 2.44 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 22.3 | 33.7 | 171.0 | 16 | 6 | 31.3% | 7.2% | 3.11 | 2.97 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 64.1 | 93.1 |
| 3 | Shota Imanaga | 41.1 | 5 | 0 | 26.9% | 3.1% | 1.09 | 2.37 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 24.9 | 34.7 | 173.1 | 13 | 6 | 25.6% | 5.5% | 3.01 | 3.22 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 59.7 | 84.2 |
| 4 | Sonny Gray | 30.0 | 4 | 1 | 33.3% | 4.4% | 0.90 | 1.55 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 19.9 | 29.7 | 167.0 | 13 | 7 | 24.9% | 6.9% | 2.96 | 3.21 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 58.6 | 82.5 |
| 5 | Logan Webb | 46.0 | 3 | 3 | 18.3% | 6.1% | 3.51 | 2.99 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 11.6 | 19.4 | 200.0 | 13 | 11 | 20.0% | 5.6% | 3.46 | 3.18 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 52.8 | 82.1 |
| 6 | Dylan Cease | 42.0 | 4 | 2 | 29.8% | 8.7% | 2.57 | 2.48 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 17.8 | 27.3 | 175.0 | 13 | 8 | 28.9% | 9.6% | 3.29 | 3.29 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 57.4 | 81.1 |
| 7 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 42.0 | 4 | 1 | 27.8% | 4.7% | 2.79 | 3.10 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 16.7 | 23.2 | 180.0 | 14 | 7 | 26.3% | 5.5% | 3.45 | 3.36 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 54.1 | 76.9 |
| 8 | Ranger Suárez | 47.0 | 6 | 0 | 26.9% | 3.5% | 1.72 | 2.80 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 25.1 | 34.0 | 175.0 | 14 | 6 | 22.3% | 6.7% | 3.24 | 3.58 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 54.5 | 72.4 |
| 9 | Zac Gallen | 38.0 | 4 | 2 | 26.5% | 7.7% | 2.84 | 3.38 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 19.8 | 181.0 | 14 | 10 | 24.3% | 7.2% | 3.48 | 3.62 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 52.8 | 70.4 |
| 10 | Chris Sale | 36.1 | 4 | 1 | 29.0% | 4.8% | 3.48 | 3.01 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 12.3 | 18.3 | 155.1 | 13 | 6 | 29.4% | 6.3% | 3.54 | 3.27 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 48.3 | 69.5 |
of 21
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 201 results
of 21
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 201 results
