Cy Young Award Projections
Projection System
About the Cy Young Award Projections:
These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)
- Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
- FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]
American League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 36.1 | 4 | 0 | 29.7% | 4.3% | 1.74 | 2.19 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 19.2 | 28.5 | 168.1 | 13 | 7 | 28.3% | 5.8% | 2.94 | 2.83 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 61.2 | 92.4 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 35.0 | 3 | 0 | 25.5% | 5.8% | 2.56 | 3.70 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 14.0 | 17.2 | 196.0 | 13 | 7 | 26.0% | 7.1% | 3.40 | 3.46 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 57.9 | 80.5 |
| 3 | George Kirby | 32.0 | 3 | 2 | 28.4% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 2.07 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 7.8 | 16.5 | 187.0 | 14 | 10 | 24.3% | 3.8% | 3.56 | 3.14 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 52.1 | 80.5 |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert | 40.0 | 2 | 0 | 29.3% | 6.0% | 2.03 | 3.26 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 17.4 | 22.9 | 197.0 | 11 | 8 | 25.0% | 6.0% | 3.29 | 3.57 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 57.5 | 77.9 |
| 5 | Luis Castillo | 34.1 | 2 | 4 | 28.8% | 4.8% | 4.21 | 3.22 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 193.1 | 13 | 12 | 26.3% | 6.6% | 3.54 | 3.42 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 54.7 | 77.8 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 17.0 | 1 | 0 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 2.63 | 2.69 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 9.6 | 169.0 | 12 | 6 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 3.25 | 3.37 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 51.8 | 73.0 |
| 7 | Pablo López | 31.1 | 2 | 2 | 29.4% | 5.6% | 4.90 | 3.96 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 187.1 | 12 | 10 | 27.4% | 6.2% | 3.80 | 3.45 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 47.7 | 69.5 |
| 8 | Joe Ryan | 34.1 | 1 | 1 | 29.5% | 3.6% | 3.42 | 2.81 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 9.2 | 15.6 | 179.1 | 10 | 9 | 27.7% | 5.6% | 3.67 | 3.38 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 46.9 | 69.2 |
| 9 | Tanner Houck | 39.0 | 3 | 2 | 26.5% | 3.2% | 1.61 | 2.01 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 19.6 | 30.5 | 159.0 | 11 | 9 | 24.3% | 6.6% | 3.45 | 3.30 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 45.7 | 66.9 |
| 10 | Zach Eflin | 35.0 | 1 | 3 | 20.3% | 2.7% | 4.10 | 3.73 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 180.0 | 11 | 10 | 22.6% | 3.8% | 3.65 | 3.45 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 44.8 | 65.9 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 36.1 | 4 | 0 | 29.7% | 4.3% | 1.74 | 2.19 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 19.2 | 28.5 | 168.1 | 13 | 7 | 28.3% | 5.8% | 2.94 | 2.83 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 61.2 | 92.4 |
| 2 | Corbin Burnes | 35.0 | 3 | 0 | 25.5% | 5.8% | 2.56 | 3.70 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 14.0 | 17.2 | 196.0 | 13 | 7 | 26.0% | 7.1% | 3.40 | 3.46 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 57.9 | 80.5 |
| 3 | George Kirby | 32.0 | 3 | 2 | 28.4% | 3.0% | 4.21 | 2.07 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 7.8 | 16.5 | 187.0 | 14 | 10 | 24.3% | 3.8% | 3.56 | 3.14 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 52.1 | 80.5 |
| 4 | Logan Gilbert | 40.0 | 2 | 0 | 29.3% | 6.0% | 2.03 | 3.26 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 17.4 | 22.9 | 197.0 | 11 | 8 | 25.0% | 6.0% | 3.29 | 3.57 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 57.5 | 77.9 |
| 5 | Luis Castillo | 34.1 | 2 | 4 | 28.8% | 4.8% | 4.21 | 3.22 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 7.3 | 12.2 | 193.1 | 13 | 12 | 26.3% | 6.6% | 3.54 | 3.42 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 54.7 | 77.8 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 17.0 | 1 | 0 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 2.63 | 2.69 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 9.6 | 169.0 | 12 | 6 | 23.1% | 8.1% | 3.25 | 3.37 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 51.8 | 73.0 |
| 7 | Pablo López | 31.1 | 2 | 2 | 29.4% | 5.6% | 4.90 | 3.96 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 187.1 | 12 | 10 | 27.4% | 6.2% | 3.80 | 3.45 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 47.7 | 69.5 |
| 8 | Joe Ryan | 34.1 | 1 | 1 | 29.5% | 3.6% | 3.42 | 2.81 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 9.2 | 15.6 | 179.1 | 10 | 9 | 27.7% | 5.6% | 3.67 | 3.38 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 46.9 | 69.2 |
| 9 | Tanner Houck | 39.0 | 3 | 2 | 26.5% | 3.2% | 1.61 | 2.01 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 19.6 | 30.5 | 159.0 | 11 | 9 | 24.3% | 6.6% | 3.45 | 3.30 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 45.7 | 66.9 |
| 10 | Zach Eflin | 35.0 | 1 | 3 | 20.3% | 2.7% | 4.10 | 3.73 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 8.6 | 180.0 | 11 | 10 | 22.6% | 3.8% | 3.65 | 3.45 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 44.8 | 65.9 |
of 20
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 196 results
of 20
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 196 results
National League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 37.0 | 2 | 3 | 31.1% | 7.4% | 1.94 | 2.43 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 17.1 | 25.7 | 196.0 | 13 | 10 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 3.17 | 3.15 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 63.1 | 92.6 |
| 2 | Logan Webb | 38.1 | 3 | 1 | 17.0% | 4.6% | 2.36 | 2.77 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 22.1 | 204.1 | 14 | 9 | 19.9% | 5.1% | 3.22 | 3.14 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 59.9 | 90.8 |
| 3 | Tyler Glasnow | 43.0 | 5 | 1 | 31.5% | 7.1% | 2.72 | 2.74 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 18.8 | 27.2 | 163.0 | 15 | 6 | 31.1% | 7.4% | 3.20 | 3.10 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 59.0 | 84.4 |
| 4 | Sonny Gray | 23.0 | 3 | 1 | 36.0% | 4.5% | 1.17 | 1.47 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 14.8 | 22.5 | 168.0 | 12 | 8 | 24.7% | 7.1% | 3.16 | 3.33 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 54.3 | 76.1 |
| 5 | Dylan Cease | 35.1 | 3 | 2 | 28.8% | 10.1% | 2.81 | 2.82 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 20.2 | 176.1 | 12 | 9 | 28.6% | 10.0% | 3.42 | 3.43 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 54.1 | 75.0 |
| 6 | Shota Imanaga | 27.1 | 4 | 0 | 25.9% | 2.8% | 0.99 | 2.39 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 17.4 | 23.8 | 166.1 | 12 | 7 | 25.3% | 5.8% | 3.19 | 3.37 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 53.4 | 74.2 |
| 7 | Ranger Suárez | 41.0 | 5 | 0 | 27.8% | 3.5% | 1.32 | 2.60 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 23.5 | 32.2 | 176.0 | 13 | 7 | 22.4% | 6.9% | 3.22 | 3.52 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 54.1 | 73.2 |
| 8 | Zac Gallen | 32.0 | 3 | 2 | 26.3% | 6.8% | 3.38 | 3.53 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 10.5 | 13.9 | 190.0 | 14 | 10 | 24.3% | 6.8% | 3.60 | 3.66 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 52.3 | 70.0 |
| 9 | Max Fried | 31.0 | 2 | 0 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 4.05 | 3.54 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 9.4 | 178.0 | 13 | 6 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.54 | 3.41 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 48.3 | 69.8 |
| 10 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 28.0 | 2 | 1 | 31.9% | 5.2% | 3.54 | 2.66 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 8.7 | 14.4 | 172.0 | 13 | 7 | 27.3% | 5.7% | 3.66 | 3.40 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 48.1 | 69.1 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Zack Wheeler | 37.0 | 2 | 3 | 31.1% | 7.4% | 1.94 | 2.43 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 17.1 | 25.7 | 196.0 | 13 | 10 | 26.2% | 6.6% | 3.17 | 3.15 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 63.1 | 92.6 |
| 2 | Logan Webb | 38.1 | 3 | 1 | 17.0% | 4.6% | 2.36 | 2.77 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 22.1 | 204.1 | 14 | 9 | 19.9% | 5.1% | 3.22 | 3.14 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 59.9 | 90.8 |
| 3 | Tyler Glasnow | 43.0 | 5 | 1 | 31.5% | 7.1% | 2.72 | 2.74 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 18.8 | 27.2 | 163.0 | 15 | 6 | 31.1% | 7.4% | 3.20 | 3.10 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 59.0 | 84.4 |
| 4 | Sonny Gray | 23.0 | 3 | 1 | 36.0% | 4.5% | 1.17 | 1.47 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 14.8 | 22.5 | 168.0 | 12 | 8 | 24.7% | 7.1% | 3.16 | 3.33 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 54.3 | 76.1 |
| 5 | Dylan Cease | 35.1 | 3 | 2 | 28.8% | 10.1% | 2.81 | 2.82 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 20.2 | 176.1 | 12 | 9 | 28.6% | 10.0% | 3.42 | 3.43 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 54.1 | 75.0 |
| 6 | Shota Imanaga | 27.1 | 4 | 0 | 25.9% | 2.8% | 0.99 | 2.39 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 17.4 | 23.8 | 166.1 | 12 | 7 | 25.3% | 5.8% | 3.19 | 3.37 | 3.4 | 4.0 | 53.4 | 74.2 |
| 7 | Ranger Suárez | 41.0 | 5 | 0 | 27.8% | 3.5% | 1.32 | 2.60 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 23.5 | 32.2 | 176.0 | 13 | 7 | 22.4% | 6.9% | 3.22 | 3.52 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 54.1 | 73.2 |
| 8 | Zac Gallen | 32.0 | 3 | 2 | 26.3% | 6.8% | 3.38 | 3.53 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 10.5 | 13.9 | 190.0 | 14 | 10 | 24.3% | 6.8% | 3.60 | 3.66 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 52.3 | 70.0 |
| 9 | Max Fried | 31.0 | 2 | 0 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 4.05 | 3.54 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 9.4 | 178.0 | 13 | 6 | 21.7% | 7.0% | 3.54 | 3.41 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 48.3 | 69.8 |
| 10 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 28.0 | 2 | 1 | 31.9% | 5.2% | 3.54 | 2.66 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 8.7 | 14.4 | 172.0 | 13 | 7 | 27.3% | 5.7% | 3.66 | 3.40 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 48.1 | 69.1 |
of 21
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 205 results
of 21
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 205 results
