Cy Young Award Projections
About the Cy Young Award Projections:
These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)
- Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
- FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]
American League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 180.0 | 13 | 4 | 32.6% | 4.1% | 2.10 | 2.29 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 83.2 | 127.3 | 202.0 | 15 | 5 | 32.3% | 4.2% | 2.18 | 2.34 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 91.9 | 140.3 |
| 2 | Garrett Crochet | 185.1 | 15 | 5 | 30.9% | 5.7% | 2.57 | 2.81 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 77.5 | 112.2 | 204.1 | 16 | 6 | 30.8% | 5.8% | 2.64 | 2.83 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 83.4 | 121.2 |
| 3 | Hunter Brown | 167.2 | 11 | 7 | 28.9% | 7.9% | 2.25 | 3.00 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 71.8 | 99.8 | 188.2 | 12 | 8 | 28.6% | 7.9% | 2.39 | 3.06 | 5.0 | 6.6 | 77.6 | 107.8 |
| 4 | Max Fried | 176.0 | 16 | 5 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 3.02 | 3.21 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 61.3 | 86.6 | 199.0 | 18 | 6 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 3.08 | 3.25 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 67.9 | 95.6 |
| 5 | Nathan Eovaldi | 130.0 | 11 | 3 | 26.0% | 4.2% | 1.73 | 2.81 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 63.9 | 88.4 | 130.0 | 11 | 3 | 26.0% | 4.2% | 1.73 | 2.83 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 63.9 | 88.1 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 176.1 | 12 | 9 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 3.42 | 3.19 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 50.3 | 75.8 | 199.1 | 14 | 10 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 3.39 | 3.26 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 58.0 | 85.5 |
| 7 | Bryan Woo | 175.2 | 13 | 7 | 25.7% | 4.9% | 3.02 | 3.62 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 59.6 | 76.9 | 194.2 | 14 | 8 | 25.6% | 4.9% | 3.10 | 3.61 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 64.0 | 83.3 |
| 8 | Jacob deGrom | 155.2 | 11 | 7 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 2.78 | 3.54 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 57.7 | 74.3 | 172.2 | 12 | 8 | 28.1% | 5.8% | 2.87 | 3.50 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 62.3 | 81.5 |
| 9 | Carlos Rodón | 170.1 | 16 | 7 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 3.90 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 60.2 | 71.6 | 192.1 | 17 | 8 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.23 | 3.93 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 64.6 | 76.8 |
| 10 | Joe Ryan | 157.0 | 13 | 8 | 28.0% | 5.4% | 3.32 | 3.44 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 51.1 | 69.6 | 177.0 | 14 | 9 | 28.0% | 5.5% | 3.36 | 3.50 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 56.3 | 76.0 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 180.0 | 13 | 4 | 32.6% | 4.1% | 2.10 | 2.29 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 83.2 | 127.3 | 202.0 | 15 | 5 | 32.3% | 4.2% | 2.18 | 2.34 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 91.9 | 140.3 |
| 2 | Garrett Crochet | 185.1 | 15 | 5 | 30.9% | 5.7% | 2.57 | 2.81 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 77.5 | 112.2 | 204.1 | 16 | 6 | 30.8% | 5.8% | 2.64 | 2.83 | 6.0 | 7.1 | 83.4 | 121.2 |
| 3 | Hunter Brown | 167.2 | 11 | 7 | 28.9% | 7.9% | 2.25 | 3.00 | 4.5 | 6.2 | 71.8 | 99.8 | 188.2 | 12 | 8 | 28.6% | 7.9% | 2.39 | 3.06 | 5.0 | 6.6 | 77.6 | 107.8 |
| 4 | Max Fried | 176.0 | 16 | 5 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 3.02 | 3.21 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 61.3 | 86.6 | 199.0 | 18 | 6 | 22.5% | 6.4% | 3.08 | 3.25 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 67.9 | 95.6 |
| 5 | Nathan Eovaldi | 130.0 | 11 | 3 | 26.0% | 4.2% | 1.73 | 2.81 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 63.9 | 88.4 | 130.0 | 11 | 3 | 26.0% | 4.2% | 1.73 | 2.83 | 3.8 | 5.8 | 63.9 | 88.1 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 176.1 | 12 | 9 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 3.42 | 3.19 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 50.3 | 75.8 | 199.1 | 14 | 10 | 23.5% | 8.0% | 3.39 | 3.26 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 58.0 | 85.5 |
| 7 | Bryan Woo | 175.2 | 13 | 7 | 25.7% | 4.9% | 3.02 | 3.62 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 59.6 | 76.9 | 194.2 | 14 | 8 | 25.6% | 4.9% | 3.10 | 3.61 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 64.0 | 83.3 |
| 8 | Jacob deGrom | 155.2 | 11 | 7 | 27.9% | 5.8% | 2.78 | 3.54 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 57.7 | 74.3 | 172.2 | 12 | 8 | 28.1% | 5.8% | 2.87 | 3.50 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 62.3 | 81.5 |
| 9 | Carlos Rodón | 170.1 | 16 | 7 | 26.0% | 10.0% | 3.12 | 3.90 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 60.2 | 71.6 | 192.1 | 17 | 8 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.23 | 3.93 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 64.6 | 76.8 |
| 10 | Joe Ryan | 157.0 | 13 | 8 | 28.0% | 5.4% | 3.32 | 3.44 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 51.1 | 69.6 | 177.0 | 14 | 9 | 28.0% | 5.5% | 3.36 | 3.50 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 56.3 | 76.0 |
of 17
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 161 results
of 17
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 161 results
National League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Paul Skenes | 173.0 | 10 | 9 | 28.9% | 5.8% | 1.98 | 2.42 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 78.0 | 118.0 | 193.0 | 11 | 10 | 28.9% | 5.8% | 2.05 | 2.51 | 6.4 | 8.1 | 85.3 | 128.0 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 176.1 | 12 | 5 | 26.0% | 5.9% | 2.60 | 2.59 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 67.8 | 105.2 | 198.1 | 13 | 6 | 25.7% | 6.0% | 2.68 | 2.70 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 73.9 | 113.6 |
| 3 | Logan Webb | 184.2 | 14 | 9 | 26.3% | 5.4% | 3.12 | 2.65 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 62.4 | 100.5 | 206.2 | 16 | 10 | 25.9% | 5.4% | 3.14 | 2.73 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 69.5 | 110.2 |
| 4 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 155.1 | 11 | 8 | 28.8% | 8.1% | 2.72 | 3.06 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 59.4 | 84.2 | 175.1 | 13 | 9 | 28.6% | 8.0% | 2.77 | 3.11 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 66.6 | 93.7 |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | 158.2 | 16 | 5 | 27.1% | 9.4% | 2.50 | 3.56 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 68.9 | 85.5 | 177.2 | 17 | 6 | 27.1% | 9.4% | 2.63 | 3.58 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 73.5 | 91.6 |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | 164.1 | 13 | 5 | 26.5% | 6.8% | 2.85 | 3.41 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 60.4 | 80.2 | 185.1 | 14 | 6 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 2.96 | 3.47 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 65.3 | 86.5 |
| 7 | Zack Wheeler | 149.2 | 10 | 5 | 33.3% | 5.6% | 2.71 | 3.01 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 59.3 | 84.1 | 149.2 | 10 | 5 | 33.3% | 5.6% | 2.71 | 3.03 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 59.3 | 83.7 |
| 8 | Matthew Boyd | 166.1 | 12 | 8 | 22.0% | 5.6% | 2.92 | 3.44 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 55.7 | 75.2 | 186.1 | 13 | 9 | 22.1% | 5.7% | 2.99 | 3.54 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 60.6 | 80.5 |
| 9 | Ranger Suárez | 137.0 | 11 | 6 | 22.8% | 5.7% | 2.89 | 3.06 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 48.3 | 70.3 | 157.0 | 12 | 7 | 22.6% | 5.9% | 2.98 | 3.16 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 53.1 | 76.5 |
| 10 | Jesús Luzardo | 161.2 | 13 | 6 | 28.0% | 8.2% | 4.01 | 3.01 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 40.8 | 67.5 | 180.2 | 14 | 7 | 27.8% | 8.3% | 3.99 | 3.09 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 45.4 | 73.6 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Paul Skenes | 173.0 | 10 | 9 | 28.9% | 5.8% | 1.98 | 2.42 | 5.8 | 7.5 | 78.0 | 118.0 | 193.0 | 11 | 10 | 28.9% | 5.8% | 2.05 | 2.51 | 6.4 | 8.1 | 85.3 | 128.0 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 176.1 | 12 | 5 | 26.0% | 5.9% | 2.60 | 2.59 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 67.8 | 105.2 | 198.1 | 13 | 6 | 25.7% | 6.0% | 2.68 | 2.70 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 73.9 | 113.6 |
| 3 | Logan Webb | 184.2 | 14 | 9 | 26.3% | 5.4% | 3.12 | 2.65 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 62.4 | 100.5 | 206.2 | 16 | 10 | 25.9% | 5.4% | 3.14 | 2.73 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 69.5 | 110.2 |
| 4 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 155.1 | 11 | 8 | 28.8% | 8.1% | 2.72 | 3.06 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 59.4 | 84.2 | 175.1 | 13 | 9 | 28.6% | 8.0% | 2.77 | 3.11 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 66.6 | 93.7 |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | 158.2 | 16 | 5 | 27.1% | 9.4% | 2.50 | 3.56 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 68.9 | 85.5 | 177.2 | 17 | 6 | 27.1% | 9.4% | 2.63 | 3.58 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 73.5 | 91.6 |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | 164.1 | 13 | 5 | 26.5% | 6.8% | 2.85 | 3.41 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 60.4 | 80.2 | 185.1 | 14 | 6 | 26.7% | 6.8% | 2.96 | 3.47 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 65.3 | 86.5 |
| 7 | Zack Wheeler | 149.2 | 10 | 5 | 33.3% | 5.6% | 2.71 | 3.01 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 59.3 | 84.1 | 149.2 | 10 | 5 | 33.3% | 5.6% | 2.71 | 3.03 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 59.3 | 83.7 |
| 8 | Matthew Boyd | 166.1 | 12 | 8 | 22.0% | 5.6% | 2.92 | 3.44 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 55.7 | 75.2 | 186.1 | 13 | 9 | 22.1% | 5.7% | 2.99 | 3.54 | 3.9 | 5.0 | 60.6 | 80.5 |
| 9 | Ranger Suárez | 137.0 | 11 | 6 | 22.8% | 5.7% | 2.89 | 3.06 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 48.3 | 70.3 | 157.0 | 12 | 7 | 22.6% | 5.9% | 2.98 | 3.16 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 53.1 | 76.5 |
| 10 | Jesús Luzardo | 161.2 | 13 | 6 | 28.0% | 8.2% | 4.01 | 3.01 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 40.8 | 67.5 | 180.2 | 14 | 7 | 27.8% | 8.3% | 3.99 | 3.09 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 45.4 | 73.6 |
of 16
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 156 results
of 16
Page Size:
1 - 10 of 156 results
